Shell Cracker: About That “20,000 Jobs” Talking Point

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I don’t think any KP readers will be surprised to learn that the Corbett administration’s 20,000 Jobs talking point is based on unverified industry numbers, or that we know very little about the methodology used to arrive at that figure. Even if you trust the study, the number of “direct” jobs created is estimated at just 2,396. Tryin to play you for a sucker.

Scott Detrow:

The Cor­bett Administration’s claims that an ethane cracker would lead to “20,000 per­ma­nent jobs” in west­ern Penn­syl­va­nia are based on a study con­ducted by the Amer­i­can Chem­istry Coun­cil, an indus­try trade group that counts Shell Chem­i­cal as a member.

The state has not con­ducted its own research into the mat­ter, as the Tribune-Review reported ear­lier this week.

The Amer­i­can Chem­istry Coun­cil claims a plant would lead to 17,541 new jobs. It divides them into three classes: direct, indi­rect and induced.

Nei­ther the group’s one-page fact sheet or a longer three-page doc­u­ment  – you can read both at the bot­tom of this post — explain the study’s method­ol­ogy, but Amer­i­can Chem­istry Coun­cil Chief Econ­o­mist Kevin Smith told StateIm­pact Penn­syl­va­nia he and two other researchers used Mig Incorporated’s IMPLAN eco­nomic model to make projections.

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One Response to Shell Cracker: About That “20,000 Jobs” Talking Point

  1. Julieann Wozniak says:

    How many jobs will Corbett lose by cutting education funding, and funding to social welfare programs? These are JOBS, despite current GOP talking points to the contrary, and their loss has a further deleterious effects upon the communities that host them: if you are a cop, a teacher, or a nurse, and you lose your job, you won’t be out and about SPENDING YOUR PAYCHECK in your local stores, which will result in further job loss. To believe otherwise is ignorant.