Feels like we’re due for a disinterested Quinnipiac or PPP poll of the PA Governor primary soon, so I’m not getting too worked up about this new Allyson Schwartz internal poll. I’m not surprised to see Schwartz still leading, or the large number of undecideds. I am a bit surprised to see the growing interest in Katie McGinty, considering she hasn’t really done a whole lot that I’ve seen to raise her profile so far. That is, unless lots of people are reading about her on Keystone Politics!
Keegan Gibson has the details you want:
In a four-way matchup of candidates for the Democratic nomination Schwartz takes 34% to 15% for former DEP Sec. Katie McGinty, 11% for former Revenue Sec. Tom Wolf, and 10% for state Treasurer Rob McCord. 30% are undecided.
Schwartz pollster Beneson Strategy Group polled 800 likely 2014 primary voters from July 16 to 18. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.46%.
Bonus question for the Gov primary watchers. How persuasive are these stress test results on the GOP’s Blackwell Center messaging? I’m pretty sure the GOP message is going to be a lot harsher than this, but maybe self-defeatingly so:
“A lot of people have said, variations on the theme, that they think that Allyson Schwartz is going to have difficulty winning the general election because of her work with the Blackwell Center,” said pollster Pete Brodnitz.
He said that when the campaign has the chance to push back against the initial stigma, they win. Of the two issue descriptions below, respondents chose the pro-Schwartz response 51% to 33%. They broke out white Catholics, who supported the Schwartz position by 56% to 29%.
Here are the competing questions the pollster asked.
1) Supporters of Tom Corbett say prior to running for Congress, Schwartz ran an abortion clinic in Philadelphia. In Congress and the State Senate, she has pushed a pro-abortion agenda, including opposing parental notification, supporting partial birth abortions, and voting against the Religious Freedom Act.
2) Supporters of Allyson Schwartz say she helped found the non-profit Elizabeth Blackwell Health Center to provide access to quality, affordable health care. While the center did provide legal abortion services, Schwartz’s goal was to reduce the number of abortions by helping women get access to better health care and contraception to avoid unwanted pregnancies.