If you haven’t seen the new NBC/WSJ poll yet, you really need to. It unequivocally shows that the GOP shutdown and their threats to default on our already-accumulated debt are disastrous plans for the Republican Party. Here are some toplines:
- 53% blame GOP for shutdown, 31% blame Obama;
- Republican Party has their worst approval rating in poll’s 25-year history: 24%;
- Democrats now lead in generic House match-up, 47-39;
- Obamacare support up seven points from its last poll; etc.
It’s full of stuff like that.
But the thing that’s most prevalent to Pennsylvania GOP representatives is the fact that 60% of Americans think every member of congress should be fired. Congressional approval ratings aren’t new, and they’re all low — but even though Americans generally have a very negative view of congress for all of its disfunction, they usually have a fairly high view of their own representative. Not in this poll. In this case, the 60% includes their own member of congress — which is far higher than normal.
Based on any poll you look at, the government shutdown is extremely unpopular — usually in the 70% disapproval range. The shutdown disapproval number combined with Americans wanting to oust their own member of congress mixed with Democrats winning a generic House ballot 47-39 is very, very bad news for incumbent Republicans in non-safe districts.
A few days ago, PPP released a poll showing Republican Representatives Pat Meehan (PA-07) and Mike Fitzpatrick (PA-08) losing to a generic Democrat — 43-40 and 46-44, respectively. Even a few days ago, numbers were nowhere near this bad for the GOP. And I can only imagine what these numbers would be like just four days later. My guess is they’re scared to find out.