From the ABC/WaPo poll:
- 81 percent disapprove of the government shutdown.
- 53 percent think Republicans are solely to blame (compared to only 29 percent blaming Obama).
- 77 percent believe that Republicans only care about doing what’s best for themselves, not what’s best for the country.
Dave Weigel notes that’s about even with the partisan blame breakdown from the Gingrich shutdown. Democrats are up 11 points in the generic ballot, and need to win the popular vote by about 6-8 points to flip control of the House.
It’s too early to say whether these numbers will hold, but supplement ABC/WaPo with the USA Today poll, and you’ll see the makings of a Throw the Bums Out election that looks worse for the incumbent House majority than ’94 or ’06. If the election were held today, I bet the House would change hands, but perhaps the GOP will come up with a plan to endear themselves to the voters in the meantime lol:
In a nationwide USA TODAY/Princeton Survey Research Poll, just 4% of those surveyed — equal to the margin of error — say Congress would be changed for the worse if nearly every member was replaced next year. Nearly half say it would work better…
Those findings are similar to the public’s views in previous years when voter dismay cost one side or the other control of the House. In 1994, when Democrats lost their majority, 40% said Congress would be better off if most members were replaced. In 2006, when Republicans lost control, 42% held that view.
Now 47% say Congress would work better if nearly every seat changed hands next year.