#PAGov: Wolf Up 20 Points on Corbett, Over 50%

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The Republican-leaning polling firm Rasmussen has some terrible news for Republicans in the first poll of the general election. Democratic nominee Tom Wolf is beating Republican incumbent Tom Corbett by 20 points, and leads on all issues, with only 14% undecided. Wolf is winning over 50% of likely voters.

Wolf isn’t going to win 25% of Republicans – if there’s one thing campaigns are good at, it’s reminding partisans of what they hate about the other party. But it doesn’t seem outlandish to expect an above-average number of Republicans to defect to Wolf or stay home this cycle. Tom Wolf is a moderate-seeming business owner, and the generic Republican campaign formula of painting the Democratic nominee as some kind of secret leftist radical seems particularly unlikely to work on him given his background.

In the first poll released after the former Department of Revenue Secretary won the Democratic primary, Tom Wolf holds a twenty point lead over the Governor.

According to Rasmussen Reports, 51% of likely voters would support Wolf while 31% would vote for Governor Tom Corbett. Only 14% of respondents were undecided.

As expected, Wolf is supported by 83% of Democrats yet only 59% of Republicans favor Corbett. Wolf pulls away 25% of PA Republicans and holds a ten point lead among independents.

Meanwhile, among those surveyed Governor Corbett’s job approval is 36% with 59% of voters disapproving of his performance.

(Via Nick Field)

This entry was posted in Elections, Governor.

2 Responses to #PAGov: Wolf Up 20 Points on Corbett, Over 50%

  1. Wolf isn’t going to win 25% of Republicans – if there’s one thing campaigns are good at, it’s reminding partisans of what they hate about the other party.

    Two things. Corbett is the current office holder. So 31% is awful for someone in office. Things won’t improve that much. Two, Corbett has the whole JoePa/PSU/Sandusky thing that he’s never answered for. And plenty of PA GOPers hold him responsible for JoePa’s firing and death.

  2. Pingback: How Tom Wolf’s 20 Point Lead on Tom Corbett Could Grow Even Larger - Keystone Politics