Dent: I Want Us Out of Iraq, but I Won't Support the Dems

Dent, R-15th, and Gerlach, R-6th, made clear in interviews with me last week that they are not willing to endorse Democratic-sponsored legislation to demand a withdrawal from Iraq. But their letter Tuesday, just a week ahead of a much-anticipated Iraq progress report from the U.S. military’s top commander in the country, seemed to indicate that they do favor a plan for withdrawal of some kind…

Dent and Gerlach have both voted against legislation demanding a withdrawal by April 2008, a timetable that Dent said Wednesday “was militarily unrealistic and would have exposed our troops to danger.” Withdrawing troops, he said, would take much longer.

So does that mean Dent would support a bill with a more lenient timeline? Not yet.

“I’ve been very hesitant to support withdrawal timetables,” Dent said.


It’s quite clear that the

It’s quite clear that the GOP talking points on the Iraq War and potential withdrawl of troops comes down to this;

“We’ll lower troop levels slowly if we deem is reasonable and prudent.”

Which is to say, “We’re going to keep on keepin’ on.”

The GOP wants it both ways. They want to be able to say that they’re bringing the boys home AND that they are “staying the course” and making Iraq safe for democracy.

It’s total and complete bunk of course, but that’s the talking point….so get ready to hear a lot of it.

Pilt

huh?

Is this having your cake and eating it too? They just can’t bring themselves to say, “change strategy, bring troops home”. It’s as if they now recognize that the Democrats have been right, but they can’t say it out loud.

Well that's the whole problem

Well that’s the whole problem as I see it.

Either you support the troops coming home, or you don’t. It’s that simple. You can’t go both ways and say “I want the troops home, but I won’t support any plan that doesn’t originate in my own party.”

It’s terribly hypocritical and shows just how scared both Gerlach and Dent are about losing their seats.

The Long View

I don’t think it’s the concept of “breaking with the pack” that frightens Dent and Gerlach. Both Republicans voted with Dems on several key pieces of legislation during the last session. Here’s a concept: maybe timelines are just a bad idea, no? Even Dem stalwarts like Joe Biden don’t support placing a specific timeline on American withdrawal from Iraq. In truth, I’m not the war’s biggest proponent. However, I do see the logic in not giving our enemies a heads-up on when exactly our troops we’ll be packing up. It’s lunacy to believe such a timeline wouldn’t hand our enemies a huge advantage in future planning and strategy. I know I’ll be accused of donning rose-colored glasses, but by most accounts, the “surge” is beginning to see verifiable results in Iraq (an increased deployment which should’ve happened much earlier than this summer). I don’t pretend everything is over there, but I do believe we are beginning to see a foundation for progress forming. Here’s a hypothetical I put to my KP friends (and I’d like an honest answer): as Americans (which we all are, regardless of our feelings on Iraq), if someone told you if we stuck it out in Iraq for another year, maybe two, the Iraqi government would become strong enough to sustain itself. We would have denied al-quida an operating base and resisted expanded Iranian influence in the region. Would the gains outweigh the costs? I ask this because I feel the international “big picture” has been lost amongst the domestic political brawling. I don’t believe those who advocate an immediate retreat from Iraq realize the gravity of the action they propose. Not only will the Iraqi government implode, the Iranians will become the true kingmakers of the region (which isn’t exactly a comforting thought). Moderate Arab states will be strained, if not overrun themselves. Iraq will become a cesspool of terror and fundamentalism, with Iran pulling the strings. The Iranians will have no reason to fear the United States or it’s allies as it continues building nuclear weapons (“Hey, look what happened in Iraq!”). Again, I’m not a fan of the way this war has been conducted (or, frankly, the circumstances under which the war began). However, the means shouldn’t overshadow the ends. Retreating from Iraq doesn’t just deny George Bush a victory (as satisfying as that prospect may be to some). It denies the United States any true hope of permanently leaving the Middle East at some point in time. If we leave Iraq in the near future (before the Iraqi government is stable), do you honestly believe American forces won’t be right back in the fight after the world sees the carnage that would inevitably ensue? Think about it.

We're Not Winning

“if someone told you if we stuck it out in Iraq for another year, maybe two, the Iraqi government would become strong enough to sustain itself. We would have denied al-quida an operating base and resisted expanded Iranian influence in the region. Would the gains outweigh the costs?”

I guess the question is, could anyone convince me that they know that? Does it seem like we’re headed in that direction? The signs all point to NO. If, and I have no idea who/what could convince me of this at this point, the end goal still seemed to be in sight and feasible, I might support us staying.

But that’s not the case. Every day things get worse over there, not better. GAO just released a report saying so and I expect Petreaus’ report will just say “give me more time.” Well, we’ve gone through a bunch of generals over there, 4,000+ of our men and women are dead, and we seem to be moving farther away from our goal of stabilization. Time’s up – we need to get out.

GAO

You referenced the GAO report, which based their conclusions on whether or not goals have been achieved. It did not measure any sort of progress toward the achievement of those goals. In addition, the report includes nothing that took place over the summer (a period of time in which security in some areas of Iraq improved greatly). I wouldn’t exactly label GAO’s work on this matter as full or complete. Frankly, I don’t expect Gen. Petreaus to be a cheerleader for the Administration. I believe he’ll report both the positives and negatives to Congress in a few weeks, and let the political chips fall where they may.

Two points

First, when an officer gets his or her first star and beyond, they have already demonstrated an ability to play politics. There’s a reason for the old military saying that “O-6 is the last rank you get on merit”. Petraeus will deliver the report he’s been told to give and, as reported over at TPM, has been engaged in an under-the-radar PR campaign in support of his prearranged conclusion that the current strategy is “working”.

Second, you can keep living in la-la land if you like, but I’d suggest reading this (http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/features/2007/071…)
first before you return to your regular guillibility about everything that comes of this administration regarding their ill-conceived, poorly planned and executed war.

pd

PD - Does That Stand For "Politically-Driven"?

PD, you’re ability to fit issues into your neat little preconceived political prisms never ceases to amaze. You are apparently ready to write off a four-star general who, by most reasoned accounts (TPMs, um, “straightforward” report notwithstanding)is nothing but honorable and on-the-level, without the man so much as uttering his first word under oath. I guess my only question of you at this point would be: what exactly are you so afraid Petraeus might say? That some things ARE IMPROVING in Iraq? Of course, the hardcore left “just can’t have that”, now can they? I’ve been extremely critical of some of the decisions made in Iraq (and I’m no fan of the Administration on this issue, despite your sad attempt to lump me in with their lot), but your routine practice of talking down every and any piece of good news coming from Iraq is nothing but political and pathetic. For such a self-styled “progressive”, you certainly fear the concept of “progress” in Iraq, no? Oh, by the way, the next time you include “references” in a response, please chose something other than partisan websites and magazine articles. If I want entertaining hearsay, I’ll travel to the local dive around 5 o’clock next Friday. Now that I think about it pd, you and the hardcore anti-war crowd should continue to bash Petraeus and downplay any positives coming from Iraq. If Petraeus continues to get results in the future, it’ll be fun watching you throw your political temper-tantrums from the gigantic hole you all have dug for yourselves.

There is no good news coming out of Iraq

FYI, I opposed the war from the beginning and knew what this administration was saying was a pack of lies. I knew it was going to be a disaster when Rumsfeld was asked about securing his supply lines and brushed it off as if supplies would just magically appear at the front lines. And what was the first thing to be attacked? The unsecured American supply line from southern Iraq to Baghdad. That told me all I needed to know about how well the war was planned.

I worked around flag officers for over a quarter century. I know first hand how much they are driven by the political priorities of the civilian administration in power. Perhaps when Petraeus is retired, like others, he’ll speak differently, but while he’s in the Army, he will say what the Bush admin wants said.

Every trip that Bush or Rice, etc, make is unannounced. What does that tell you? Even the most secure areas are less secure than they were.

Last, here’s the difference between you and me. You’re fine with seeing more young Americans and innocent civilians dead and I am not.

pd

Dodge and Weave

Unreal. You again dodge the issue at hand (i.e., the consequences of premature withdrawal from Iraq) and instead focus on the horrible prosecution of the war (something that, surprisingly, we’re in agreement on). Rumsfeld far overstayed his welcome and should’ve been dumped much earlier than last November. The focus of the Iraq debate needs to shift from yesterday onto tomorrow. By that I mean, the left and the right need to develop a strategy for
“where to go from here”, as opposed to continually fighting over “how we got here”. Most everyone accepts the premise that some very bad decisions got us where we are in Iraq. However, many of those same people realize that if America retreats before the Iraqi government can sustain itself, sooner or later those same young American men and women will be thrown right back onto the sands of the Middle East. Most on the left will talk all day about “immediate withdrawal from Iraq” but quickly shy away from discussion of the probable consequences of such a move.

Consequences

“...the left and the right need to develop a strategy for
“where to go from here”, as opposed to continually fighting over “how we got here”.”

I agree completely, and I also would say that Democrats have not been doing an adequate job of moving the debate in that direction. We’re too focused on the past.

That said, you referenced consequences for the future. First, I’ll ignore the word “premature” because that’s loading the debate in a way that seems unproductive. What are the consequences of withdrawal? Democrats are ignoring that there might be any negative consequences of immediate withdrawal, and Republicans are predicting doom and gloom unless we stay.

Both are equally wrong in this regard. What’s happening over there right now is the doom and gloom that Republicans predict. It’s already happening. Things cannot get much worse in Iraq.

With that in mind, it seems to me that there are two options. We can either commit a massive number of troops (double or more, though it doesn’t seem we have that many ready for combat) to quell the violence, or we can withdraw immediately. Remaining indefinitely with no signs of progress and no changes in strategy isn’t a valid option.

Agreed, Stanley

I mostly agree with you, Stanley. However, are you willing to recognize the progress that has been made under the “surge”? For example, the Anbar province has been brought under control, with Iraqis beginning to take more and more responsibilities in that area. Iraqi Sunnis are now assisting American forces in combating the Shii’a militias. The Iraqi political leadership needs to get itself in gear, but for some to claim “zero” progress during 2007 is simply ignorant. As for troop levels, let’s see what Gen. Petraeus reports to Congress this week, as he’ll no doubt field such questions. I agree that an indefinite engagement with no verifiable results “isn’t a valid option”. However, I’d argue that for Washington to pull the rug out from under our forces at the VERY MOMENT they’re getting results would be the worst possible action to take.

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